Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.035901 0.039115 0.042353 0.045853 0.049524 0.053254 0.057324
2025-11-09 0.030212 0.034909 0.039803 0.045258 0.051145 0.057285 0.064151
2025-11-16 0.026021 0.031750 0.037904 0.044948 0.052735 0.061033 0.070493
2025-11-23 0.023748 0.030383 0.037696 0.046255 0.055902 0.066353 0.078445
2025-11-30 0.021755 0.029098 0.037387 0.047281 0.058623 0.071085 0.085684
2025-12-07 0.019875 0.027752 0.036849 0.047906 0.060777 0.075098 0.092058
2025-12-14 0.017989 0.026230 0.035963 0.048005 0.062225 0.078235 0.097382
2025-12-21 0.016894 0.025573 0.036022 0.049142 0.064818 0.082635 0.104112
2025-12-28 0.014998 0.023765 0.034568 0.048367 0.065081 0.084282 0.107632
2026-01-04 0.013775 0.022732 0.033992 0.048587 0.066468 0.087191 0.112576
2026-01-11 0.012884 0.022067 0.033824 0.049263 0.068366 0.090674 0.118168
2026-01-18 0.012042 0.021407 0.033613 0.049845 0.070119 0.093965 0.123525
2026-01-25 0.010328 0.019440 0.031642 0.048172 0.069104 0.093977 0.125061
2026-02-01 0.009229 0.018269 0.030662 0.047714 0.069552 0.095719 0.128635
2026-02-08 0.008305 0.017284 0.029879 0.047468 0.070231 0.097720 0.132506
2026-02-15 0.008004 0.017222 0.030348 0.048855 0.072968 0.102228 0.139395
2026-02-22 0.007627 0.017013 0.030594 0.049933 0.075307 0.106251 0.145708
2026-03-01 0.007150 0.016608 0.030536 0.050587 0.077093 0.109590 0.151197
2026-03-08 0.006552 0.015956 0.030091 0.050692 0.078155 0.112024 0.155583
2026-03-15 0.006296 0.015859 0.030439 0.051870 0.080601 0.116178 0.162070
2026-03-22 0.005538 0.014834 0.029375 0.051070 0.080444 0.117067 0.164553
2026-03-29 0.005099 0.014335 0.029068 0.051298 0.081618 0.119613 0.169063
2026-04-05 0.004804 0.014073 0.029106 0.051997 0.083406 0.122926 0.174517